• Dec, 2022
  • Dec 02, 2022
  • Iran on the threshold gets more benefits and fewer costs, but if it crosses the threshold (a device and guidance) they get less benefits and higher costs - Alterman
    Completely unconstrained by agreements, without any inspectors, without any insight, maybe puts them in a dangerous place, where they're more liable to be surprised in a bad way. Versus continuing in unsatisfactory agreements you're constantly trying to improve, but with continuing dialog, insights, and tools to use.

  • Nov, 2022
  • Nov 27, 2022

  • Nov, 2022
  • Nov 16, 2022

  • India takes charge of G20 Presidency
  • Sep, 2022
  • Sep 17, 2022

  • Chips, selling tech to one country or the other, not both. Questions about low-quality tech.

    China, Zeihan says, is making things uncomfortable for Putin, making him play a subservient or belittled role. We can guess what this means for their ideas about Taiwan.

    US, Zeihan says, is demonstrating strength when it comes to actuallySerious issues of national security, even if they have been seen as weak in less vital issues over the past while.
  • Sep, 2022
  • Sep 14, 2022
  • "Everything Trump said he was going to do Biden is now turning into policy (regarding China)" - Zeihan
  • Aug, 2022
  • Aug 02, 2022
  • Pelosi went to Taiwan

    After a week or two of headline news about her possibly going/possibly not/China not wanting her to. US headlines only I read, so I can't say what China's real position was.
  • Jun, 2022
  • Jun 24, 2022
  • "It has been proven time and again that sanctions are a boomerang and a double-edged sword, to politicize, instrumentalize and weaponize the global economy, and to willfully impose sanctions by taking advantage of one's dominant status ... will only end up hurting one's own interest, as well as the interests of others, and inflict suffering on people around the world." - Xi speaking at BRICS summit

  • Jun, 2022
  • Jun 22, 2022
  • Saudi crown prince visiting 3 nations

    Turkey, Egypt, Jordan.

    Currently at the president's palace in Ankara. Apparently, among other things like oil and normalizing relations (media attacks), Turkey's to drop the Kashogi trial in Istanbul. When the journalist was killed Erdogan blamed the highest levels of SA for the killing.
  • Jun, 2022
  • Jun 16, 2022

  • WTO requires unanimous support from members to pass deals, but in the current global climate it doesn't seem to be able to pass anything

    Most recently, India was the sole opposition to a fishing restrictions bill. India pointed to Europe buying of gas from Russia and Biden visiting SA, and how those are justified as 'national interest.'

    Recently, India and S Africa wanted vaccine formulas but were denied. Only a couple countries supported them in the WTO.

  • May, 2022
  • May 17, 2022
  • Turkey blocked Sweden and Finland bids to join NATO

    Sweden and Finland had a decades-old policy of neutrality that they now seem to want to change.

    NATO needs a unanimous vote for new members.

    The main reason given by Turkey is that those countries host Kurdish groups the Turkish government deems terrorists.

    Diplomats from the two countries are going to Turkey to try diplomacy, but Erdogan publicly said they shouldn't bother to tire themselves, as Turkey won't accept counties that impose sanctions (export bans on Turkey... Sweden halted arms sales to Turkey after Turkish intervention in Syria 3 years ago) on Turkey, because then NATO would cease to be a security organization and start to be a place where reps of terrorist organizations are represented.

  • Apr, 2022
  • Apr 27, 2022
  • 'For 75 years...': India's veiled dig at US, UK during resolution on use of veto power - YouTube 
  • Mar, 2022
  • Mar 01, 2022
  • What if sanctions were imposed on all US citizens every time the US invaded another country?

    This question was raised by BreakThrough News, whose commenters said Americans would probably not think that was fair, since they don't have any say in what their government does.

    The sanctions against Russia do not target explicitly citizens but that is who will feel the sanctions.

  • Berlin's technical university has cut off all academic ties with Russia

  • "The number one priority now is for a serious diplomatic initiative that sorts this mess out, by giving Putin something he can present the Russian people with as a victory" - Yanis Varoufakis

    "... In exchange for troop withdrawal. That he ceases all hostilities ..."
  • Sep, 2021
  • Sep 25, 2021
  • Hostage diplomacy worked for China

    ... The Huawei exec who's been under house arrest in Vancouver for a couple years on request by America (they said she bypassed their embargo on Iran, I think, and wanted her deported to the US. She's been arguing against deportation from Canada since then).

    Shortly after the exec's detention, China detained two Canadians, saying they were spying. (It sounds like they were never charged, just detained until now).

    Shortly after the exec recently made a deal with the US and was released by Canada to return to China, China released the two Canadian men.

    "Because it was so blatently a form of hostage diplomacy I think people are going to start thinking about how they deal with China. ... a major emerging power that doesn't really follow international law, so there's a lot of implications that need to be addressed." - Clifford Coonan

  • Sep, 2021
  • Sep 21, 2021
  • Biden mentions ' relentless diplomacy' after 'relentless war' in Afghanistan, at UN meeting

    ... amid a speech full of platitudes about the most common topics. He also mentioned 'human rights' and the UN Charter, which might make some viewers at home laugh. The US targets and goals he mentioned were the same as the past eras, and with the same language of urgency (in allying with the US?).

    He mentioned "leading the world toward a more peaceful, prosperous future for ALL people. Instead of continuing to fight the wars of the past we are fixing our eyes on [?Will we get something new or specific here? Nope.] devoting our resources to the challenges that hold the keys to our collective future." Climate, pandemic, global power dynamics, trade, cyber, 'the threat of terrorism as it stands today,' were what he mentioned.

  • Jul, 2021
  • Jul 27, 2021
  • Some say diplomacy in the US done less by (career) diplomats and more by people from political backgrounds

    Highlighted by the recent talks between China and the US in Anchorage, where the US government was represented by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, in which the US reportedly brought a list of demands/complaints against China, and which didn't go over very well with the Chinese.

    Now Wendy Sherman will head a mission to China. China may send only lower level officials to talk to her.

    Wendy Sherman is a diplomat and politician since the Clinton presidency, and also active under Hillary.

    But the question being raised is 'How much does Sherman know about China or Chinese?' She might have some superficial armchair knowledge, but no real competency, it is thought.

    The Russians and Chinese do use career diplomats, real career professionals.

    This idea came to our attention by a vlog by Alexander Mercouris.

    US is criticized for trying to 'coerce' China into doing things the US wants. Treating China as an adversary or enemy, and only talking to China really when the US wants it to do something.

    China's diplomacy

    China has also been considered to alienate its global partners through it's foreign policy. China frequently makes criticisms of America that are a great stretch, such as equating China's current human rights abuses with those that took place in America 100 years ago.

    China's 'wolf warrior diplomacy,' where it acts forcefully abroad, may be popular within China, but it may be alienating other countries, including Asian countries (reported rise in anti-Chinese sentiment in the region). What place do wolves have in society?

    'I think (the non-issuance of Chinese visas to US students, due reportedly to China's non-infection policy during the pandemic, while China wants removed the US political sanction on Chinese students who want to study in the US) is a good thing actually. The US side should put forward such demands, such concerns, because this is engagement. The US side will say, "I want Beijing to do this and that," the Chinese side will say, "I want Washington to do this and that." In this way, we can cooperate and reduce their concerns," commented Qinduo Xu of Pangoal and CGTN.


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