Corporate debt cloud

They'll have to refinance at the higher rates.

At these high rates, there's not going to be a lot of issuance. So supply will contract and otherwise remain the same at these levels, so that could help spreads a bit.

We might see a Fed easing cycle when a lot of this is due.


There's a Fed put for systemic risk, but not for default and losses in the private sector.

It looks like a lot of managers did their financing right to prepare, but it looks like they will be refinancing into higher rates. That means layoffs, cost contractions,